Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.243046 0.285253 0.335298 0.399772 0.481756 0.584094 0.724060
2025-01-05 0.176531 0.226132 0.292555 0.390945 0.538439 0.761271 1.145471
2025-01-12 0.143016 0.195023 0.271190 0.397001 0.613415 1.002230 1.849630
2025-01-19 0.119257 0.170093 0.249605 0.392402 0.667067 1.241153 2.811851
2025-01-26 0.105047 0.155676 0.239514 0.401871 0.748955 1.594383 4.584287
2025-02-02 0.095260 0.145982 0.234346 0.417749 0.851784 2.089643 7.997241
2025-02-09 0.086870 0.136902 0.227895 0.428528 0.949416 2.682117 14.264944
2025-02-16 0.080329 0.129838 0.223495 0.442095 1.063520 3.493037 28.156515
2025-02-23 0.074315 0.122723 0.217444 0.449877 1.167727 4.455605 59.472142
2025-03-02 0.068857 0.115829 0.210478 0.453281 1.262511 5.593989 140.891726
2025-03-09 0.063714 0.108839 0.202042 0.450409 1.335874 6.827465 383.651320
2025-03-16 0.058796 0.101692 0.192083 0.440640 1.378849 8.023107 1254.671055
2025-03-23 0.055909 0.098387 0.190455 0.455248 1.542594 11.050869 51706.057490
2025-03-30 0.051773 0.092066 0.180908 0.443615 1.581902 13.091209 NaN
2025-04-06 0.049107 0.088533 0.177460 0.450412 1.724181 17.722456 NaN
2025-04-13 0.046103 0.083960 0.170790 0.444865 1.799215 22.209527 NaN
2025-04-20 0.044182 0.081529 0.169099 0.456019 1.989931 32.453118 NaN
2025-04-27 0.042738 0.079987 0.169436 0.474802 2.260861 53.095924 NaN
2025-05-04 0.041154 0.077963 0.168197 0.487578 2.515467 87.160564 NaN
2025-05-11 0.039801 0.076329 0.167764 0.503689 2.832559 161.184032 NaN
2025-05-18 0.038314 0.074235 0.165757 0.512944 3.115875 303.979271 NaN
2025-05-25 0.036779 0.071889 0.162714 0.516995 3.366800 598.016708 NaN
2025-06-01 0.035148 0.069176 0.158263 0.513576 3.541517 1160.620627 NaN